Yesterday’s attack weren't the actions of an impromptu band of terrorists. It was a well-planned and premeditated attack with support from the highest PA government sources. The timing of the operation may not have been convenient for some in the Hamas government right at this moment, and that probably indicates an internal rift on high, but everyone (and I mean everyone) was involved in planning this operation.

But has anyone thought for a second what the goal of the operation was?

“To kill IDF soldiers”, you are probably saying to yourself. But no it wasn’t that, that was just a perk. It was only and solely to kidnap as many IDF soldiers as they could.

To trade them for prisoners?

Highly unlikely.

They could have easily kidnapped soldiers in the West Bank without the elaborate tunnels, and missiles, and so on. The goal here is far different.

The Palestinian Authority Terrorists wants Israel to invade Gaza, more specifically; they want Israel to mass on the ‘border’ and then invade Gaza.

They know the limitations our Leftwing government will place on the IDF. They know what the IDF will be forbidden to do. They plan to take advantage of that.

To begin with, Gilad Shalit the soldier, is no longer in easy reach of the IDF. I would even doubt at this point if he is even in Gaza anymore. Spiriting him far away was clearly part of the plan long before. You can see Iran’s finger in this operation.

But why would the PA want Israel to invade?

Because they know that the IDF will gather troops outside the fence and only then start sending them in.

Cannon Fodder.

You see, Olmert and Peretz have no plans to properly launch a ground offensive. It would go against their ideology and “worse” cause international condemnation of Israel.

They have no plans to soften the enemy in advance of the troops going in.

They didn’t shut off the electricity and water in Gaza right away to cause confusion and disorder among the population that would have caused logistic and mobility problems for the terrorists (such as how to hide and move our soldier).

The IDF didn’t immediately react in force, a lesson you would have thought they would have learned already from the Lebanon retreat (probably because of fear of repercussions from our Leftwing government and the years of Leftwing training to be submissive in the face of the enemy). In fact, we can probably assume that the inexperienced and Leftwing government gave the IDF orders to stand-down to “avoid having the soldier harmed”.

This government will not be launching a series of precision bombs against the heads of the Hamas and Fatah to remove the leadership and command-and-control capabilities of the terrorists. They will not even order carpet bombing of the buildings in the IDF’s path that will present excellent base for the PA to attack IDF soldiers –leaving us with another Jenin.


The Israeli Leftwing government simply gave away the very narrow window of opportunity to foil the PA’s plan to spirit away the soldier when it did not react right away, just like when Hizbollah kidnapped our soldiers after Barak ran away from Lebanon.

As much as they don’t want to, and are still trying to avoid it, instead Olmert and Peretz will eventually have to have the IDF mass on the border, and go in that way – the stupid way.
So ignoring for a second the PA’s more accurate weapons (which they have) and the fighting in the alleyways like in Jenin - a few unwell-placed Kassams in the middle of the budding IDF forward offensive base will simply wreak havoc on the IDF.

You see, unfortunately I think that this is what the PA really has planned.

IDF operations have begun predictable.

Coerce the government with the right amount of pressure to act, and burden them with the right amount of international (and leftwing political) pressure to limit what actions you can take, and unless you consciously choose to be more aggressive and creative you will find yourself in a box, which is what is probably going on down in the Pit.


So our troops will eventually be gathering on the border in large clusters (exactly like before the Expulsion) making them easy targets for anything the PA wants to launch at them (with whatever payloads they want inside) - and they will.

The alternative is that Olmert and Peretz are actually psychologically frozen and will simply do nothing militarily.

This isn’t about releasing Hamas prisoners, and this is one analysis that I hope I am wrong about.